New York City may face $ 4.7 billion in damage if it is shook with an earthquake similar to the discontent

It will not take an unusually strong earthquake to cause severe damage across the big apples, but geology experts say that the New York residents should not tremble around the big next next time – even with the passage of the city Temblor Three a little more than a year later Monday afternoon.

The earthquake, which it recorded in only 5.2 on the Richter scale, would cause damage about $ 4.7 billion if it hit today, and also leaves about 100 “completely damaged” buildings and about 2000 homeless people, according to the 2019 disaster evaluation conducted by the city.

This analysis was based on an earthquake of the same volume that shook the city on August 10, 1884, which the chimneys sent the walls and bricks destroying.

But that was more than 140 years ago, and the story may be completely different for the modern city if it hit the same earthquake again, the evaluation was found.

“Given the amount of construction and development in New York City since 1884, if an earthquake of the same size occurs today, the amount of damage to people and property will be much worse,” the city report said.

While experts believe that the possibilities of such a catastrophe are minimal, many say it is ultimately impossible to predict what may happen in the field of volatile tectonic.

“The brief answer is that no one really knows,” said Dr. James Davis, a professor of earthquake at the Earth Observatory at Columbia University. “It is very low, if you look at the general danger.”

He added: “What makes it different for New York City is that there is a lot of infrastructure. So, even a relatively low earthquake can have the possibility of some damage.”

Davis’s warning came a few hours after New York was shaken on Tuesday afternoon with an earthquake of 2.8 size, which followed only 3.0 miles west in the northern Rambo rift area in New Jersey on Saturday evening.

In April 2024, The city was 4.8 Quick Out of the Ramapo, which was the weakest of about 3.9 times from 1884 5.2 – although it is still relatively close to the size of Richter, as the power increases by 32 times per previous number.

Davis acknowledged that the last frequency of Temblors coming from Ramapo is “unusual”, but he reassured the New York residents that it does not mean that the Earth is preparing to unleash something big.

“It is definitely an increase in the frequency, but we do not think it is an increase in the frequency that warns of anything,” he said.

“It is more like, if you are accustomed to rain every few weeks, then we get a week where it rains three days in a row. You don’t say,” Oh my God, you will rain every day. “

Dr. Kenneth Miller – Professor of Earth Sciences at the University of Rutgers – believes that Tuesday was a defeat on Saturday.

He agreed that although it is difficult to estimate whether New York could be in a store for severe damage from another earthquake, it is likely that this will not happen any time soon.

“It is very likely that it will not be anxious,” Miller said. “You never want to say something that has not happened. But it seems unlikely to have any larger earthquake in the immediate or near future.”

Miller estimates that it will take between 6 and 7 earthquakes in terms of size to bring chaos to Manhattan, but he said that Ramabo’s rift area may not have this kind of strength in it.

Professor Davis explained that the rift area – which generally moves to the northeast of the southwest – does not create vertical earthquakes that usually leak and excite tsunami.

The skyscrapers in New York City are also Earthquake designer Up to 6.5 volume, which means that most modern buildings will survive a serious vibration.

But despite these cleansing, Davis said that every earthquake should be a reminder of the importance of adhering to safe building standards and continuing to study the earthquakes.

“We must realize that we live in an area that gets earthquakes,” he said. “But I will not wander in fear.”